El Porvenir vs Puerto Nuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
CBA
0 - 0
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
DPA
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
MUÑ
0 - 0
POR
30%
28%
42%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
POR
3 - 0
CAA
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
LIN
0 - 0
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 1
ARR
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
1 - 2
YUP
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
JUU
2 - 2
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 0
ARR
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +2 |