El Porvenir vs Claypole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
VIC
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DPA
0 - 0
POR
27%
26%
46%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
CES
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
CAÑ
0 - 0
POR
35%
29%
36%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CBA
1 - 0
POR
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Claypole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
JUU
1 - 0
CLA
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
CLA
0 - 1
ALE
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
SBA
0 - 3
CLA
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
CLA
2 - 1
SMA
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
CLA
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |