Portuguesa Santista vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
OES
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
POR
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
JUV
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
TAU
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 0
FER
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
XVD
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
SAO
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
JUV
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |