Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 4-1
Portuguesa RJ vs Operário Ltda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LTD
1 - 0
POR
20%
29%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
REA
0 - 0
POR
20%
29%
51%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
ATH
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 0
POR
20%
29%
51%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
NOV
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LTD
1 - 0
POR
20%
29%
51%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
LTD
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
LTD
9 - 0
RDA
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
LTD
2 - 1
URO
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ANA
3 - 0
LTD
50%
28%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |