Portuguesa RJ vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
26.2%
61.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
20.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
29.2%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
POR
2 - 1
MAD
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 0
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAN
0 - 1
POR
14%
22%
64%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
CMA
66%
19%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 2
POR
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FLU
1 - 1
CMA
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
VOL
1 - 0
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FLU
0 - 0
SAM
89%
9%
2%
|
88 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLU
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
FLU
1 - 0
CUI
52%
26%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |