Carioca 1 Copa Guanabara round 10

Portuguesa RJ vs Maricá analysis

Portuguesa RJ Maricá
63 ELO 56
3.6% Tilt -20.6%
2069º General ELO ranking 2831º
67º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
60.6%
Portuguesa RJ
22%
Draw
17.5%
Maricá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
Portuguesa RJ
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.5%
Win probability
Maricá
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portuguesa RJ
-24%
+41%
Maricá

ELO progression

Portuguesa RJ
Maricá
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
BOA
Boavista SC
2 - 2
Portuguesa RJ
POR
29%
26%
45%
62 52 10 0
05 Feb. 2025
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 5
Flamengo
FLA
11%
24%
65%
63 88 25 -1
02 Feb. 2025
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 1
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
39%
25%
37%
63 65 2 0
30 Jan. 2025
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
77%
15%
8%
64 77 13 -1
27 Jan. 2025
VAS
Vasco da Gama
4 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
85%
11%
4%
64 88 24 0

Matches

Maricá
Maricá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
CMA
Maricá
1 - 1
Bangu
BAN
66%
21%
13%
57 45 12 0
07 Feb. 2025
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 1
Maricá
CMA
84%
12%
5%
57 77 20 0
03 Feb. 2025
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 0
Maricá
CMA
23%
27%
50%
58 47 11 -1
29 Jan. 2025
CMA
Maricá
0 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
6%
21%
73%
58 88 30 0
26 Jan. 2025
CMA
Maricá
2 - 2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
58%
24%
18%
58 50 8 0