Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
CFC
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TAC
1 - 1
POR
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
TRU
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
EST
1 - 4
TAC
23%
27%
50%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ANZ
2 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
EST
2 - 0
MIN
30%
29%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MET
3 - 1
EST
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |