Portugalete vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CDU
0 - 3
POR
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
SNT
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SES
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
BFC
67%
21%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
URD
1 - 2
POR
8%
18%
74%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 1
DEU
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SOD
2 - 1
TOL
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 2
JUV
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARI
2 - 1
TOL
38%
24%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TOL
0 - 2
SAN
31%
24%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |