Portugalete vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
RSO
3 - 2
POR
65%
22%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
RMC
12%
23%
65%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MAJ
2 - 1
POR
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POR
1 - 0
CDE
22%
26%
53%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 0
POR
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
RUN
1 - 1
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 2
RUN
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
RUN
3 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FUE
2 - 2
RUN
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
RUN
0 - 2
GET
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |