U20 World Cup round 1

Portugal U20 vs Uruguay U20 analysis

Portugal U20 Uruguay U20
70 ELO 74
-7.1% Tilt -0.9%
2497º General ELO ranking 874º
39º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
33%
Portugal U20
25.1%
Draw
41.9%
Uruguay U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
Portugal U20
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.9%
Win probability
Uruguay U20
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugal U20
-18%
+4%
Uruguay U20

ELO progression

Portugal U20
Uruguay U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U20
Portugal U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2011
PAN
Panama U20
2 - 0
Portugal U20
POR
17%
21%
62%
71 51 20 0
20 Jul. 2011
POR
Portugal U20
2 - 0
Nigeria U20
NGA
62%
22%
17%
71 61 10 0
18 Jul. 2011
MEX
Mexico U20
2 - 2
Portugal U20
POR
49%
24%
27%
71 72 1 0
13 Jul. 2011
POR
Portugal U20
0 - 0
Nigeria U20
NGA
62%
21%
17%
71 61 10 0
07 Jul. 2011
POR
Portugal U20
2 - 2
Egypt U20
EGY
65%
20%
14%
71 59 12 0

Matches

Uruguay U20
Uruguay U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2011
URU
Uruguay U20
2 - 0
Guatemala U20
GTM
78%
14%
7%
74 49 25 0
11 Jul. 2011
URU
Uruguay U20
7 - 0
Guatemala U20
GTM
77%
15%
8%
74 50 24 0
10 May. 2011
KOR
South Korea U20
1 - 1
Uruguay U20
URU
27%
24%
49%
74 63 11 0
08 May. 2011
URU
Uruguay U20
2 - 2
Nigeria U20
NGA
66%
20%
14%
74 61 13 0
05 May. 2011
NZL
New Zealand  U20
0 - 1
Uruguay U20
URU
12%
18%
71%
74 43 31 0