U-17 Euro Qualification Grupo D round 1

Portugal U17 vs Bulgaria U17 analysis

Portugal U17 Bulgaria U17
55 ELO 37
-12% Tilt 2.6%
2071º General ELO ranking 7583º
35º Country ELO ranking 71º
ELO win probability
71.4%
Portugal U17
18.3%
Draw
10.3%
Bulgaria U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
Portugal U17
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.3%
Win probability
Bulgaria U17
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portugal U17
+27%
-10%
Bulgaria U17

ELO progression

Portugal U17
Bulgaria U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portugal U17
Portugal U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2011
ROU
Romania U17
0 - 1
Portugal U17
POR
26%
24%
50%
55 47 8 0
26 Oct. 2011
POR
Portugal U17
2 - 1
Finland U17
FIN
61%
22%
17%
55 45 10 0
24 Oct. 2011
POR
Portugal U17
1 - 1
Rusia U17
RUS
46%
25%
30%
55 53 2 0
26 Mar. 2011
POR
Portugal U17
0 - 2
Austria U17
AUT
53%
24%
23%
57 53 4 -2
24 Mar. 2011
POR
Portugal U17
0 - 0
Croatia U17
CRO
49%
24%
27%
57 55 2 0

Matches

Bulgaria U17
Bulgaria U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2011
MDA
Moldova U17
0 - 2
Bulgaria U17
BGR
39%
24%
37%
36 30 6 0
23 Sep. 2011
BGR
Bulgaria U17
0 - 0
Sweden U17
SWE
35%
25%
40%
36 44 8 0
21 Sep. 2011
GEO
Georgia U17
3 - 2
Bulgaria U17
BGR
59%
22%
19%
36 44 8 0
02 Oct. 2010
ISR
Israel U17
1 - 0
Bulgaria U17
BGR
61%
21%
18%
37 44 7 -1
29 Sep. 2010
BGR
Bulgaria U17
1 - 2
Croatia U17
CRO
24%
24%
52%
38 54 16 -1