Premier League round 18

Portsmouth vs Tottenham Hotspur analysis

Portsmouth Tottenham Hotspur
76 ELO 83
15.3% Tilt -3.3%
1171º General ELO ranking 33º
43º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.5%
Portsmouth
24.6%
Draw
34.9%
Tottenham Hotspur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
Portsmouth
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.9%
Win probability
Tottenham Hotspur
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portsmouth
-2%
-4%
Tottenham Hotspur

ELO progression

Portsmouth
Tottenham Hotspur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2003
SOU
Southampton
3 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
60%
23%
17%
75 84 9 0
13 Dec. 2003
OPA
Portsmouth
1 - 2
Everton
EVE
44%
25%
32%
75 81 6 0
06 Dec. 2003
MID
Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
62%
22%
16%
75 83 8 0
02 Dec. 2003
SOU
Southampton
2 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
64%
22%
15%
75 84 9 0
29 Nov. 2003
OPA
Portsmouth
0 - 2
Leicester
LEI
51%
23%
26%
76 78 2 -1

Matches

Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2003
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
Manchester United
MUD
18%
23%
59%
83 93 10 0
17 Dec. 2003
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 1
Middlesbrough
MID
59%
23%
18%
83 83 0 0
13 Dec. 2003
NEW
Newcastle
4 - 0
Tottenham Hotspur
TOT
63%
21%
16%
83 88 5 0
06 Dec. 2003
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
5 - 2
Wolves
WOL
65%
20%
15%
83 75 8 0
03 Dec. 2003
TOT
Tottenham Hotspur
3 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
51%
24%
25%
82 83 1 +1