Portsmouth vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
CRY
0 - 0
OPA
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
OPA
1 - 1
WAL
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2002 |
OPA
1 - 0
COV
27%
25%
47%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
WBA
5 - 0
OPA
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
OPA
0 - 0
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
MIL
2 - 1
PNE
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 1
MIL
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
MIL
0 - 1
WIM
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
MIL
1 - 0
WBA
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
NTT
1 - 2
MIL
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |