Premier League round 32

Portsmouth vs Aston Villa analysis

Portsmouth Aston Villa
77 ELO 80
5.6% Tilt 5.5%
1132º General ELO ranking 42º
43º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.7%
Portsmouth
21.2%
Draw
24.1%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
Portsmouth
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.1%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Portsmouth
-1%
-2%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Portsmouth
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Portsmouth
Portsmouth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 1958
LEI
Leicester
2 - 2
Portsmouth
OPA
65%
17%
18%
77 77 0 0
22 Feb. 1958
LEE
Leeds United
2 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
49%
22%
29%
77 77 0 0
08 Feb. 1958
OPA
Portsmouth
2 - 2
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
55%
21%
23%
77 80 3 0
01 Feb. 1958
NTT
Nottingham Forest
2 - 0
Portsmouth
OPA
53%
21%
26%
78 78 0 -1
18 Jan. 1958
OPA
Portsmouth
2 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
43%
22%
35%
78 82 4 0

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 1958
ASV
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Burnley
BUR
52%
23%
25%
80 82 2 0
01 Mar. 1958
NEW
Newcastle
2 - 4
Aston Villa
ASV
58%
21%
21%
79 78 1 +1
22 Feb. 1958
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 3
Chelsea
CHL
51%
22%
27%
80 81 1 -1
08 Feb. 1958
LEI
Leicester
6 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
59%
20%
21%
80 75 5 0
01 Feb. 1958
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
49%
23%
28%
80 84 4 0