CA Porto vs Araripina FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
YPI
0 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
POR
0 - 3
NAU
11%
18%
70%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
CAB
2 - 0
POR
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 0
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
POR
4 - 2
SET
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 3
ARA
46%
24%
31%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 2
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SET
2 - 2
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 1
SAL
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |