Porto Vitória vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
47.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TOM
2 - 0
POR
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
VIT
21%
22%
56%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
LIN
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
RIO
27%
23%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
REA
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
REA
0 - 2
BRA
31%
28%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
ITA
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
REA
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |