Portimonense vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 0
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
FEI
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
NAV
0 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 2
FEI
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
NAV
1 - 1
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
SPC
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SAL
2 - 0
VAR
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
FEL
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |