Port Vale vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
LUT
1 - 1
POR
41%
26%
32%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
POR
0 - 2
WAL
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
OXF
1 - 1
POR
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2001 |
BRO
0 - 3
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
POR
2 - 3
NOT
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 1
OXF
68%
18%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 2
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
POR
2 - 3
NOT
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2001 |
NOT
0 - 2
WYC
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
NOT
2 - 1
BRI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |