Port Vale vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
CUM
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BPO
0 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
REA
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
FLE
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
CRE
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 2
WAL
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
CRE
4 - 2
NEW
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 2
CRE
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 1
CRE
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | +1 |