Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-3
Pontevedra vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontevedra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
PON
0 - 1
ATM
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
MUR
2 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
PON
1 - 2
VAD
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
PON
0 - 1
VCF
28%
28%
45%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
BET
3 - 0
PON
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELD
1 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
CDT
1 - 0
ELD
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
SFE
2 - 0
ELD
54%
22%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
VAL
2 - 1
ELD
74%
15%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ELD
2 - 1
REC
62%
20%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |