Primera RFEF Grupo I round 1

Pontevedra vs Alcorcón analysis

Pontevedra Alcorcón
53 ELO 60
-3.5% Tilt -2.3%
2833º General ELO ranking 1320º
82º Country ELO ranking 51º
ELO win probability
27.6%
Pontevedra
28.1%
Draw
44.3%
Alcorcón

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
Pontevedra
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
44.3%
Win probability
Alcorcón
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pontevedra
+11%
-18%
Alcorcón

Points and table prediction

Pontevedra
Their league position
Alcorcón
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
10º
20º
19º
74
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Racing Ferrol
75
75
100%
Alcorcón
74
74
100%
RM Castilla
69
69
100%
RC Deportivo
67
67
100%
Celta Fortuna
59
59
0%
Linares Deportivo
59
59
0%
Unionistas CF
56
56
100%
Córdoba CF
54
54
0%
AD Mérida
54
54
0%
Cultural Leonesa
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Fuenlabrada
11º
46
46
11º
100%
AD Ceuta FC
12º
45
45
12º
0%
San Fernando CD
13º
45
45
13º
0%
Rayo Majadahonda
14º
45
45
14º
0%
Algeciras CF
15º
44
44
15º
100%
UD Sanse
17º
43
43
16º
0%
CD Badajoz
16º
43
43
17º
0%
RB Linense
18º
42
42
18º
100%
Pontevedra
19º
36
36
19º
100%
CF Talavera
20º
33
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Pontevedra
Alcorcón
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Pontevedra
Alcorcón
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pontevedra
Pontevedra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2022
EST
CD Estradense
0 - 3
Pontevedra
PON
8%
18%
74%
53 27 26 0
10 Aug. 2022
COX
Coruxo
1 - 0
Pontevedra
PON
28%
25%
47%
53 48 5 0
06 Aug. 2022
PON
Pontevedra
2 - 1
Celta Fortuna
CEL
28%
24%
48%
53 60 7 0
27 Jul. 2022
PON
Pontevedra
1 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
21%
23%
56%
53 65 12 0
15 May. 2022
CAT
Palencia Cristo Atlético
1 - 1
Pontevedra
PON
27%
27%
47%
53 46 7 0

Matches

Alcorcón
Alcorcón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
LEG
Leganés B
1 - 2
Alcorcón
ALC
12%
21%
67%
61 42 19 0
17 Aug. 2022
ALC
Alcorcón
0 - 0
Atlético Baleares
ATB
42%
26%
33%
61 62 1 0
13 Aug. 2022
TAL
CF Talavera
0 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
25%
24%
51%
60 51 9 +1
10 Aug. 2022
MUR
Real Murcia
1 - 1
Alcorcón
ALC
26%
26%
48%
60 54 6 0
03 Aug. 2022
ALC
Alcorcón
1 - 2
Leganés
LEG
22%
26%
52%
61 75 14 -1