Ponte Preta vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
64.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
PPE
3 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
PPE
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
1 - 2
MIR
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 1
INT
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
10%
20%
70%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 2
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 2
PAL
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAL
8%
22%
70%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
INT
82%
14%
5%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
PAL
5 - 0
IVT
65%
20%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |