Ponte Ourense vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
PON
2 - 2
LAL
20%
26%
55%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SCB
2 - 1
PON
68%
21%
12%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PON
0 - 2
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
COX
3 - 1
PON
42%
25%
34%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
ARO
3 - 1
BER
44%
27%
29%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
XOV
1 - 2
ARO
53%
26%
21%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ARO
4 - 1
POR
39%
27%
34%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
OGR
2 - 1
ARO
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ARO
2 - 3
CER
21%
27%
52%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |