Ponte da Barca vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
80.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte da Barca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
PON
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RON
1 - 0
PON
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PON
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
PON
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
SPC
71%
20%
10%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
HAP
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
15%
23%
61%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |