Pontardawe Town vs Aberdare Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PON
6 - 1
CAE
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
PON
5 - 0
TON
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
WES
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PON
2 - 4
CWM
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
PON
0 - 5
CAM
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Aberdare Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
WES
3 - 7
ABE
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 5
ABE
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BRY
1 - 0
ABE
72%
16%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |