Ponferradina vs Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ROB
2 - 0
PON
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
PON
0 - 1
CAU
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ULP
0 - 0
PON
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
PON
1 - 0
RCF
28%
28%
44%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CDM
3 - 1
PON
68%
20%
13%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MST
1 - 2
FUE
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SSR
2 - 0
MST
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MST
1 - 0
PPJ
44%
27%
30%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SPB
3 - 2
MST
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
MST
1 - 0
LAN
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |