Ponferradina vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponferradina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CCF
1 - 0
PON
39%
29%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
PON
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
PON
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
VAD
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MLL
1 - 0
PON
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 0
ALC
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATH
73%
19%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ATH
3 - 1
MLL
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ELC
2 - 1
ATH
73%
19%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ATH
0 - 1
GIR
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |