Polonia Warszawa vs Sokół Ostróda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 1
POL
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
PEL
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
POL
0 - 2
KSL
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 3
POL
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
POL
2 - 3
RWM
92%
6%
2%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Sokół Ostróda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SOK
3 - 0
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
RWM
1 - 3
SOK
16%
19%
66%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SOK
0 - 2
22%
25%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
USK
5 - 1
SOK
50%
22%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SOK
3 - 2
UWA
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |