UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 4-1
Polonia Warszawa vs Kobenhavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
FCK
0 - 3
POL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1999 |
TIT
0 - 0
POL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
POL
4 - 0
TIT
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
WAR
3 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1999 |
POL
2 - 0
GKS
69%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
FCK
0 - 3
POL
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
FCK
1 - 0
AKA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
AAF
3 - 3
FCK
25%
24%
51%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1999 |
FCK
1 - 0
BIF
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1999 |
VEJ
1 - 0
FCK
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |