U21 EC Qualifying Grupo D round 4

Poland U21 vs Estonia U21 analysis

Poland U21 Estonia U21
65 ELO 30
-4% Tilt 7.8%
1740º General ELO ranking 8644º
37º Country ELO ranking 54º
ELO win probability
82.1%
Poland U21
13.1%
Draw
4.8%
Estonia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
Poland U21
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
4.8%
Win probability
Estonia U21
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Poland U21
-4%
+17%
Estonia U21

ELO progression

Poland U21
Estonia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Poland U21
Poland U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 2023
SVK
Slovakia U21
2 - 2
Poland U21
POL
42%
23%
35%
65 63 2 0
12 Sep. 2023
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 1
Poland U21
POL
6%
13%
81%
65 31 34 0
08 Sep. 2023
POL
Poland U21
3 - 0
Kosovo U21
KOS
65%
19%
15%
65 50 15 0
19 Jun. 2023
MNE
Montenegro U21
1 - 2
Poland U21
POL
16%
21%
63%
64 50 14 +1
15 Jun. 2023
POL
Poland U21
1 - 1
Finland U21
FIN
65%
21%
14%
64 53 11 0

Matches

Estonia U21
Estonia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2023
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 1
Poland U21
POL
6%
13%
81%
31 65 34 0
07 Sep. 2023
EST
Estonia U21
1 - 1
Bulgaria U21
BGR
14%
21%
65%
30 50 20 +1
20 Jun. 2023
KOS
Kosovo U21
2 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
69%
18%
13%
30 50 20 0
26 Mar. 2023
EST
Estonia U21
1 - 1
Bahrain U21
BHR
75%
15%
10%
31 15 16 -1
24 Mar. 2023
BHR
Bahrain U21
3 - 3
Estonia U21
EST
11%
15%
74%
31 14 17 0