Pol. Ciliverghe vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
PSM
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 2
VBE
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
PSM
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 1
DCA
80%
14%
7%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PSM
1 - 1
CRE
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ACL
0 - 0
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 0
ACL
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ACL
1 - 1
PER
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
BUS
3 - 1
ACL
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SCA
0 - 1
ACL
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |