Policia de Lara vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
ATL
26%
25%
48%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 0
POL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
POL
6 - 0
RDC
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 3
POL
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
PDB
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UCV
1 - 1
FAL
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 2
APC
20%
26%
54%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
YAR
1 - 0
FAL
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 0
ZAM
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GVA
3 - 3
FAL
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |