Police FC vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
POL
2 - 4
SAN
67%
18%
15%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
POL
0 - 3
CEN
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
POL
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
POL
5 - 0
POI
76%
14%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
ANN
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 2
CEN
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 0
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 1
CAL
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
DEF
1 - 4
CON
43%
25%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 0
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |