Polissya Zhytomyr vs Livyi Bereh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
11º
4º
9
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 63 |
1º
|
55% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 61 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 60 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 47 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 43 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 41 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 41 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 40 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 34 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 32 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 28 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 28 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 25 |
16º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
11% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 54% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
POL
0 - 0
FCV
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
VOR
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KPT
1 - 3
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
LNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
FCV
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Livyi Bereh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
LIV
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
DYN
19%
21%
59%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
HKR
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
LIV
56%
25%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |