Polissya Zhytomyr vs Livyi Bereh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
12º
5º
16
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polissya Zhytomyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
POL
0 - 0
FCV
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
VOR
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KPT
1 - 3
POL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
LNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
FCV
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Livyi Bereh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
LIV
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
DYN
19%
21%
59%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
10%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 1
HKR
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCV
1 - 3
LIV
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |