Polatlı 1926 vs Bursa Nilüfer FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1427%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
13º
12º
19
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 62 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 62 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 60 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 50 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 48 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 39 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 39 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 34 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 32 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 29 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 27 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
2% | 11% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polatlı 1926
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BER
5 - 3
POL
59%
19%
23%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
NBS
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ELA
3 - 2
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ORD
5 - 0
POL
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
MBB
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bursa Nilüfer FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NBF
1 - 0
EDI
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
NBF
1 - 1
BER
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
KIY
0 - 4
NBF
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NBS
0 - 6
NBF
27%
21%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NBF
2 - 2
ORD
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 53 | 40 | +1 |