Polan vs Noves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
POL
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
POL
54%
22%
24%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
POL
4 - 1
CBA
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
POL
77%
15%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
POL
0 - 2
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Noves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 3
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CBA
1 - 0
NOV
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 1
BAR
19%
20%
61%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CON
2 - 2
NOV
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
TOR
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |