Stade Poitevin vs Saint-Malo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
2º
15º
14º
17
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
14º
|
6 | 67 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
|
1º
|
17 | 58 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 47 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 47 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 46 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 46 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 40 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 37 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 34 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 31 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 30 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 17 |
16º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
46.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
POI
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
POI
62%
23%
15%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POI
1 - 1
BLO
22%
23%
56%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 1
POI
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
POI
1 - 2
SAU
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Malo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CSP
0 - 9
SAI
8%
15%
77%
|
57 | 5 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 0
LPS
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LOC
1 - 2
SAI
20%
26%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
13%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LES
0 - 2
SAI
39%
26%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |