III Liga round 8

Pogoń Szczecin II vs Kalisz analysis

Pogoń Szczecin II Kalisz
19 ELO 38
-2.3% Tilt -3.4%
4099º General ELO ranking 1596º
76º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
15%
Pogoń Szczecin II
20.8%
Draw
64.2%
Kalisz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
Pogoń Szczecin II
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
64.2%
Win probability
Kalisz
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pogoń Szczecin II
-50%
-23%
Kalisz

ELO progression

Pogoń Szczecin II
Kalisz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pogoń Szczecin II
Pogoń Szczecin II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2018
SOK
Sokół Kleczew
3 - 1
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
78%
14%
8%
20 34 14 0
08 Sep. 2018
PSZ
Pogoń Szczecin II
1 - 4
Starogard Gdański
KSG
13%
18%
68%
22 41 19 -2
01 Sep. 2018
MGZ
Mieszko Gniezno
7 - 1
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
75%
15%
11%
23 32 9 -1
26 Aug. 2018
PSZ
Pogoń Szczecin II
2 - 2
Bałtyk Koszalin
KOS
76%
15%
8%
23 15 8 0
19 Aug. 2018
BAL
Bałtyk Gdynia
1 - 0
Pogoń Szczecin II
PSZ
80%
13%
7%
23 40 17 0

Matches

Kalisz
Kalisz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Sep. 2018
KAL
Kalisz
1 - 0
Gwardia Koszalin
GWA
52%
23%
24%
37 34 3 0
08 Sep. 2018
PSR
Polonia Środa
0 - 4
Kalisz
KAL
54%
22%
24%
36 37 1 +1
01 Sep. 2018
KAL
Kalisz
1 - 2
Lech Poznań II
LPO
31%
26%
43%
36 41 5 0
26 Aug. 2018
JAR
Jarota Jarocin
0 - 1
Kalisz
KAL
44%
25%
31%
36 36 0 0
18 Aug. 2018
SOK
Sokół Kleczew
1 - 0
Kalisz
KAL
41%
24%
35%
37 34 3 -1