Podbeskidzie vs Jastrzębie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
15º
10º
16
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 53 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 30 |
17º
|
35.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
16% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 13% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 23.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 63% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Podbeskidzie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
POD
2 - 0
STO
53%
23%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POD
0 - 1
TSP
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PGM
3 - 1
POD
39%
25%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
OLI
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
POD
6 - 0
FOM
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
MGJ
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
0 - 1
PGM
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MGJ
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
MGJ
5 - 0
HUT
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
MGJ
1 - 0
UTS
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |