Tercera RFEF XI - Islas Baleares round 15

Poblense vs CD Sant Jordi analysis

Poblense CD Sant Jordi
34 ELO 13
8.8% Tilt -5.9%
5504º General ELO ranking 12485º
169º Country ELO ranking 735º
ELO win probability
87.2%
Poblense
9%
Draw
3.8%
CD Sant Jordi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
Poblense
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.8%
Win probability
CD Sant Jordi
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Poblense
+3%
-3%
CD Sant Jordi

Points and table prediction

Poblense
Their league position
CD Sant Jordi
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
15º
5
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CE Andratx
57
60
89%
Penya Independent
56
59
61.5%
Poblense
55
58
22.5%
Manacor
58
58
0%
Santanyi
52
53
96.5%
Constància
48
48
100%
Llosetense
44
47
76%
Platges de Calvià
43
46
76%
SD Portmany
39
39
73%
Mercadal
11º
37
38
10º
56%
Binissalem
10º
37
37
11º
76.5%
UD Collerense
12º
34
34
12º
100%
Inter Manacor
13º
29
29
13º
100%
PE Sant Jordi
14º
25
25
14º
100%
Soller
15º
19
19
15º
100%
CD Sant Jordi
16º
5
5
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Poblense
CD Sant Jordi
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Poblense
CD Sant Jordi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Poblense
Poblense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2022
LLO
Llosetense
2 - 0
Poblense
PBL
19%
22%
59%
36 24 12 0
10 Dec. 2022
PBL
Poblense
3 - 0
Mercadal
MER
80%
13%
7%
36 21 15 0
03 Dec. 2022
CON
Constància
1 - 1
Poblense
PBL
24%
24%
52%
36 28 8 0
26 Nov. 2022
PBL
Poblense
2 - 2
PE Sant Jordi
JOR
77%
14%
9%
36 23 13 0
19 Nov. 2022
MNC
Manacor
0 - 4
Poblense
PBL
40%
24%
36%
35 32 3 +1

Matches

CD Sant Jordi
CD Sant Jordi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2022
SJO
CD Sant Jordi
1 - 2
SD Portmany
POR
20%
22%
59%
14 21 7 0
10 Dec. 2022
IMA
Inter Manacor
3 - 1
CD Sant Jordi
SJO
67%
19%
14%
14 20 6 0
04 Dec. 2022
SJO
CD Sant Jordi
1 - 5
Platges de Calvià
CFP
20%
26%
55%
15 29 14 -1
26 Nov. 2022
AND
CE Andratx
3 - 0
CD Sant Jordi
SJO
86%
10%
4%
15 44 29 0
19 Nov. 2022
LLO
Llosetense
3 - 1
CD Sant Jordi
SJO
72%
17%
11%
16 26 10 -1