Plymouth Parkway vs Wimborne Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
18º
21º
21º
17
4º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
28 | 88 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 85 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 81 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 79 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 73 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 67 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 66 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 66 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 63 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 61 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 61 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 57 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 55 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 55 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 55 |
15º
|
6.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 53 |
16º
|
9.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 44 |
17º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 44 |
18º
|
11.5% | |
|
19º
|
9 | 36 |
19º
|
13.5% | |
|
20º
|
7 | 34 |
20º
|
21% | |
|
|
21º
|
6 | 33 |
21º
|
15% | |
|
22º
|
3 | 23 |
22º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 6% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation
|
69.5% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plymouth Parkway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 0
PLY
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 2
PLY
77%
14%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
PLY
1 - 2
AFT
13%
21%
67%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PLY
0 - 4
WOR
10%
15%
76%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -3 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PLY
3 - 2
BAN
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wimborne Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
WIM
69%
18%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
WIM
3 - 0
TIV
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 2
WIM
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MER
6 - 0
WIM
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
WIM
1 - 0
GOS
26%
25%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |