Championship Jor. 25

Plymouth Argyle vs Southampton analysis

Plymouth Argyle Southampton
70 ELO 65
0.7% Tilt -14.2%
772º General ELO ranking 139º
41º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
48.5%
Plymouth Argyle
24.9%
Draw
26.6%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
Plymouth Argyle
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.6%
Win probability
Southampton
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Plymouth Argyle
-4%
-3%
Southampton

ELO progression

Plymouth Argyle
Southampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Plymouth Argyle
Plymouth Argyle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2008
BAR
Barnsley
2 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
45%
28%
27%
70 65 5 0
13 Dec. 2008
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 1
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
49%
26%
25%
70 70 0 0
09 Dec. 2008
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
0 - 1
Birmingham City
BIR
30%
27%
43%
70 81 11 0
06 Dec. 2008
DON
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 0
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
38%
30%
33%
71 65 6 -1
29 Nov. 2008
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 2
Blackpool
BPO
58%
24%
19%
71 65 6 0

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Dec. 2008
SOU
Southampton
0 - 2
Nottingham Forest
NTT
50%
27%
23%
67 65 2 0
13 Dec. 2008
BUR
Burnley
3 - 2
Southampton
SOU
55%
24%
21%
68 75 7 -1
08 Dec. 2008
CRY
Crystal Palace
3 - 0
Southampton
SOU
50%
25%
25%
68 73 5 0
06 Dec. 2008
SOU
Southampton
1 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
45%
27%
28%
68 68 0 0
29 Nov. 2008
CHA
Charlton Athletic
0 - 0
Southampton
SOU
51%
24%
25%
68 70 2 0
X