Plaza Colonia vs Oriental analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CSM
3 - 1
PLA
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 1
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
PLA
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PLA
0 - 0
CEL
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TAC
0 - 1
PLA
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 1
CSC
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
ORI
0 - 1
CSM
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
REN
0 - 2
ORI
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 1
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
ORI
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |