Serie B round 30

Pistoiese vs Ternana Calcio analysis

Pistoiese Ternana Calcio
59 ELO 68
-6.4% Tilt -7.7%
7121º General ELO ranking 1065º
230º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
32.4%
Pistoiese
27%
Draw
40.6%
Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
Pistoiese
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.6%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Pistoiese
+32%
+3%
Ternana Calcio

ELO progression

Pistoiese
Ternana Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pistoiese
Pistoiese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2002
BAR
SSC Bari
3 - 3
Pistoiese
PIS
62%
23%
15%
59 69 10 0
17 Mar. 2002
PIS
Pistoiese
0 - 2
Sampdoria
SAM
24%
25%
51%
59 73 14 0
10 Mar. 2002
REG
Reggina
3 - 2
Pistoiese
PIS
64%
24%
13%
60 77 17 -1
03 Mar. 2002
PIS
Pistoiese
0 - 1
Empoli
EMP
25%
27%
48%
60 75 15 0
25 Feb. 2002
MOD
Modena
1 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
67%
21%
12%
60 74 14 0

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2002
TER
Ternana Calcio
2 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
51%
25%
24%
67 66 1 0
17 Mar. 2002
ANC
Ancona
3 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
45%
25%
30%
68 63 5 -1
08 Mar. 2002
TER
Ternana Calcio
0 - 0
Como
COM
44%
27%
29%
68 74 6 0
03 Mar. 2002
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Ternana Calcio
TER
57%
24%
19%
68 74 6 0
24 Feb. 2002
GEN
Genoa
0 - 2
Ternana Calcio
TER
56%
23%
21%
67 68 1 +1