Coppa Italia 1/32

Pistoiese vs Perugia analysis

Pistoiese Perugia
55 ELO 68
-18.5% Tilt -16.1%
7141º General ELO ranking 1302º
230º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
35.4%
Pistoiese
29%
Draw
35.6%
Perugia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
Pistoiese
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
35.7%
Win probability
Perugia
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Pistoiese
Perugia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Pistoiese
Pistoiese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 1984
GEN
Genoa
5 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
73%
18%
9%
56 69 13 0
02 Sep. 1984
PAD
Padova
1 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
66%
19%
15%
56 60 4 0
29 Aug. 1984
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Pistoiese
PIS
73%
18%
9%
57 66 9 -1
26 Aug. 1984
PIS
Pistoiese
0 - 0
Varese
VAR
50%
27%
23%
57 58 1 0
22 Aug. 1984
PIS
Pistoiese
0 - 1
Roma
ROM
15%
24%
61%
57 87 30 0

Matches

Perugia
Perugia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 1995
ANC
Ancona
4 - 3
Perugia
PRG
66%
21%
13%
69 72 3 0
04 Jun. 1995
PRG
Perugia
2 - 2
Acireale
ACI
61%
24%
15%
69 60 9 0
28 May. 1995
VIC
Vicenza
4 - 1
Perugia
PRG
59%
25%
16%
69 73 4 0
21 May. 1995
PRG
Perugia
1 - 0
Udinese
UDI
26%
28%
46%
69 80 11 0
14 May. 1995
COS
Cosenza Calcio
0 - 0
Perugia
PRG
49%
29%
22%
69 70 1 0