Pistoiese vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
PIS
49%
29%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
PIS
2 - 2
PAL
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
USF
1 - 2
PIS
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
PIS
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
PIS
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 1
LEC
42%
33%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 0
UDI
46%
30%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 0
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAG
45%
31%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 0
USF
45%
30%
26%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |