Picerno vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
51.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SFM
1 - 1
PIC
10%
17%
74%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PIC
0 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FBC
3 - 3
PIC
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PIC
1 - 1
NAR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 1
FCF
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAV
3 - 0
POM
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SSE
1 - 4
CAV
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 2
AUD
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAR
3 - 4
CAV
10%
20%
70%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAV
2 - 0
ASD
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |