Piacenza vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
PIA
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 0
ABN
42%
24%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PIA
1 - 3
ABN
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
PON
1 - 3
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BAC
3 - 1
PON
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -3 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
PON
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
USR
77%
17%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CSP
2 - 2
PON
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |