MLS Temporada Regular round 27

Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC analysis

Philadelphia Union Nashville SC
84 ELO 83
2.4% Tilt 11.6%
173º General ELO ranking 200º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.2%
Philadelphia Union
25%
Draw
23.8%
Nashville SC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
Philadelphia Union
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.8%
Win probability
Nashville SC
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Philadelphia Union
+7%
-13%
Nashville SC

Points and table prediction

Philadelphia Union
Their league position
Nashville SC
CURR.POS.
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
27º
22º
36
14º
26º
25º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
25º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter Miami
74
74
100%
Columbus Crew
66
66
100%
LA Galaxy
64
64
100%
Los Angeles FC
64
64
100%
Cincinnati
59
59
100%
Real Salt Lake
57
57
100%
Seattle Sounders
57
57
100%
Houston Dynamo
54
54
100%
Colorado Rapids
53
53
100%
Minnesota United
11º
52
52
10º
0%
Orlando City
10º
52
52
11º
0%
Charlotte FC
12º
51
51
12º
100%
New York City
13º
50
50
13º
100%
Vancouver Whitecaps
14º
48
48
14º
100%
Portland Timbers
15º
47
47
15º
0%
New York RB
16º
47
47
16º
0%
CF Montréal
17º
43
43
17º
100%
FC Dallas
18º
41
41
18º
100%
Atlanta United
19º
40
40
19º
0%
DC United
20º
40
40
20º
0%
Austin FC
21º
39
39
21º
100%
Philadelphia Union
23º
37
37
22º
100%
St. Louis City
24º
37
37
23º
100%
Toronto FC
22º
37
37
24º
100%
Nashville SC
25º
36
36
25º
100%
Sporting Kansas City
27º
31
31
26º
100%
New England Revolution
26º
31
31
27º
100%
Chicago Fire
28º
30
30
28º
100%
San Jose Earthquakes
29º
21
21
29º
100%
Expected probabilities
Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2024
PHU
Philadelphia Union
5 - 1
New England Revolution
NER
41%
24%
34%
83 83 0 0
14 Jul. 2024
TOR
Toronto FC
2 - 1
Philadelphia Union
PHU
29%
24%
47%
83 75 8 0
07 Jul. 2024
PHU
Philadelphia Union
0 - 0
New York RB
RBN
46%
25%
30%
85 85 0 -2
04 Jul. 2024
CFS
Chicago Fire
4 - 3
Philadelphia Union
PHU
31%
25%
45%
85 79 6 0
30 Jun. 2024
MON
CF Montréal
4 - 2
Philadelphia Union
PHU
37%
25%
38%
85 82 3 0

Matches

Nashville SC
Nashville SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2024
NSC
Nashville SC
0 - 3
Orlando City
ORL
43%
25%
32%
83 83 0 0
14 Jul. 2024
DCU
DC United
2 - 1
Nashville SC
NSC
47%
25%
28%
83 79 4 0
08 Jul. 2024
POR
Portland Timbers
4 - 1
Nashville SC
NSC
55%
24%
21%
85 85 0 -2
04 Jul. 2024
COC
Columbus Crew
2 - 0
Nashville SC
NSC
52%
25%
23%
85 85 0 0
30 Jun. 2024
NSC
Nashville SC
1 - 2
Inter Miami
IMI
43%
25%
32%
85 85 0 0