Sochi vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FCR
1 - 3
SOC
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
KHI
2 - 3
SOC
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SPA
4 - 0
SOC
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
SOC
1 - 2
PKU
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
KHI
0 - 0
SOC
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 1
SUM
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
SHA
3 - 1
FKQ
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
QAR
2 - 0
SHA
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 1
SUM
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
SHA
0 - 3
FKN
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |